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International Relations

Options and Challenges in Australia’s AUKUS Dilemma

The United States, Australia, and the United Kingdom’s AUKUS security partnership has significant implications for Australia’s plans to operate a fleet of nuclear-powered submarines, with potential drawbacks.

AUKUS

  • Trilateral Collaboration: AUKUS is a trilateral security partnership announced on September 15, 2021, by Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States. The collaboration includes collaboration in a variety of areas, including defence and security, technology, and climate change.
  • The Indo-Pacific region is the primary focus of the AUKUS partnership, which seeks to counter China’s growing influence in the region. As part of the agreement, Australia will acquire nuclear-powered submarines from the US and the UK, marking a significant shift in Australia’s defence posture.
  • Promote peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific region: The three countries have stressed that the partnership is not aimed at any specific country and is intended to promote peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific region.

The AUKUS Dilemma in Australia

  • Impact of AUKUS Pathway: The announcement about the best AUKUS pathway has implications for Australia’s plans to operate a fleet of nuclear-powered submarines.
  • Regional Partners’ Opposition: Regional partners oppose the Royal Australian Navy’s use of nuclear attack submarines, putting Australia’s deterrence capabilities against potential adversaries to the test.

What Are Australia’s Nuclear Submarine Options?

  • Following consultations with AUKUS, three major options have emerged.
  • The United States constructs nuclear-powered attack submarines for Australia.
  • The UK has expanded its Astute-class programme to Australia.
  • A trilateral effort is underway to design a new nuclear submarine.

What are the Difficulties and Difficulties for Australia’s Nuclear Submarines?

  • The US is unsure about Australis’ nuclear submarines: Because of national security concerns, US policymakers are sceptical of building nuclear-powered attack submarines for Australia.
  • The UK’s construction of a Dreadnought-class ballistic-missile submarine programme, as well as differences between Australian and American fleets, pose a challenge to expanding the Astute-class programme to Australia.
  • Nuclear design difficulties: The trilateral effort to develop a new nuclear submarine design is being hampered by US export controls and a technology transfer agreement.
  • Nuclear technology is complex and dangerous all over the world: Under the international system, nuclear technology is complicated and poses potential proliferation risks.

The AUKUS Partnership: What Does It Mean for India?

  • Enhanced security collaboration: The alliance of Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States will almost certainly lead to increased security cooperation in the Indo-Pacific region. This could help to balance China’s growing military and economic power in the region, as well as provide opportunities for India to collaborate more closely with these countries on shared security concerns.
  • AUKUS includes technological cooperation, which could lead to opportunities for India to collaborate with the three countries in areas such as artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and cybersecurity. This could help to strengthen India’s technological capabilities and open up new trade and investment opportunities.
  • Impact on regional dynamics: The announcement of AUKUS could have a significant impact on Indo-Pacific regional dynamics, particularly how other countries in the region respond. India will need to carefully navigate these dynamics in order to protect its own interests.

@the end

The AUKUS security partnership has far-reaching implications for Australia’s defence capabilities and strategic positioning in Asia. It does, however, present significant challenges and risks. Even with its closest allies, the United States faces difficulties in transferring technology, highlighting the difficulties that India and other countries face in acquiring critical technology from the United States. The AUKUS developments could have far-reaching consequences for regional security and nuclear technology.

Source: https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/a-moment-of-reckoning-for-aukus-and-australia/article66604642.ece
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